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港口库存屡创新低矿价维持高位运行

来源:wo-ban.com 时间:2013/2/5 15:25:11 浏览:

信息摘要:进口矿港口库存数据很大程度上可以作为矿价走势的先行指标。2012年8月下旬,进口矿港口库存见顶9895万吨后,便出现了单边下行的走势,先于矿价超跌反弹两周左右的时间,随后几个月,呈现出库存单边下行,且矿价不断上涨的走势,二者负相关性十分明显。在经过12月份单月大幅上涨30%后,进口矿价于1月中旬出现了短暂的回调,而进口矿港口库存在1月初就出现了回升,尽管受到了元旦假期的影响,但单周160万吨的回升还是使得后期矿价出现下行,再次印证了其先行性。 上游方面,铁矿石市场小幅上涨,截止2月1日,我国港口

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上游方面,铁矿石市场小幅上涨,截止2月1日,我国港口铁矿石库存降至6777万吨,低库存以及矿贸易商普遍看好节后行情,使得贸易商惜售心理加重,支撑价格上涨。上游炼焦煤价格坚挺,为成本提供一定支撑,而未来下游厚壁方管市场好转,也为焦炭提供一定需求支撑。

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